Sobering Historical Perspective on this Year

Andrew Freedman at Climate Central writes a lot of superb posts summarizing extreme events. The situation for the lower 48 so far this year is sobering (see here). I plan to post a summary of weather for Manhattan, KS for the first six months of this year with respect to the record back to 1891 in coming days. I produced a graph last month that shows how spring mean temperatures already blew our record out of the water. Below is a normal distribution fit to the Manhattan, Kansas climate record (1891-2011) and the probability of sampling this year (2012) from that distribution.



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